Dan Gardner

Best Books of 2023 – The Financial Times and The EconomistShortlisted for Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year 2023‘Important, timely, instructive and entertaining’ – Daniel Kahneman, bestselling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow'Entertaining . . . compelling . . . there are lessons here for …

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars …